Value bet: Ümraniyespor to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultÜmraniyespor to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.51
Ümraniyespor vs Sakaryaspor preview and prediction
The match
Sakaryaspor travel to Spoi̇nt İnşaat Ümrani̇yespor Stadyumu in the 1. Lig on Wednesday 8 April (18:00 WAT) to face Ümraniyespor.
Form guide
Ümraniyespor's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Bodrum FK 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Sakaryaspor's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Serik Spor 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Ümraniyespor and 0.9 for Sakaryaspor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Ümraniyespor to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ümraniyespor 1–1 Sakaryaspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ümraniyespor60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.45
Sakaryaspor20%fair 4.92 · @3.30
2.74Expected goals
1.81Ümraniyespor xG
0.92Sakaryaspor xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Ümraniyespor 1.8 – 0.9 Sakaryaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ümraniyespor to win✓
60%
1.67
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Half-time result
Ümraniyespor ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ümraniyespor / FT Ümraniyespor✓
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.51
–
Form
Ümraniyespor – last 6
LLWWLL
3 Apr
@ Bodrum FK
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Sivasspor
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Erzurumspor FK
3–1
W
6 Mar
@ Sarıyer
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Bandırmaspor
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Yeni Çorumspor
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sakaryaspor – last 6
LWDWDL
21 Mar
@ Serik Spor
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Van Spor Kulübü
2–1
W
11 Mar
@ Keçiörengücü
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Adana Demirspor
4–0
W
1 Mar
vs Sarıyer
0–0
D
23 Feb
@ Sivasspor
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ümraniyespor and Sakaryaspor.
What is the prediction for Ümraniyespor vs Sakaryaspor?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ümraniyespor vs Sakaryaspor?
On our numbers Ümraniyespor have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sakaryaspor 20%.
How many goals will there be in Ümraniyespor vs Sakaryaspor?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ümraniyespor vs Sakaryaspor?
Our predicted score is Ümraniyespor 1–1 Sakaryaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ümraniyespor vs Sakaryaspor?
Ümraniyespor vs Sakaryaspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Spoi̇nt İnşaat Ümrani̇yespor Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serik Spor1