Value bet: Esenler Erokspor to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEsenler Erokspor to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.56
Sivasspor vs Esenler Erokspor preview and prediction
The match
Sivasspor host Esenler Erokspor in the 1. Lig on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at BG Grup 4 Eylül Stadyumu. Sivasspor are 18th with 13 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Esenler Erokspor sit 10th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Sivasspor's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Ümraniyespor 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Esenler Erokspor's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Erzurumspor FK 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Sivasspor and 1.8 for Esenler Erokspor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Esenler Erokspor to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sivasspor 1–1 Esenler Erokspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sivasspor23%fair 4.41 · @3.35
Draw18%fair 5.70 · @3.40
Esenler Erokspor60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
2.72Expected goals
0.94Sivasspor xG
1.78Esenler Erokspor xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Sivasspor 0.9 – 1.8 Esenler Erokspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Esenler Erokspor to win✓
60%
1.67
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.36
Half-time result
Esenler Erokspor ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Esenler Erokspor / FT Esenler Erokspor✓
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.56
–
Form
Sivasspor – last 6
WWLWWD
15 Mar
vs Ümraniyespor
1–0
W
11 Mar
@ Hatayspor
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Keçiörengücü
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Serik Spor
1–0
W
23 Feb
vs Sakaryaspor
4–1
W
19 Feb
@ Adana Demirspor
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Esenler Erokspor – last 6
LLDWWW
22 Mar
vs Erzurumspor FK
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Çorum FK
1–2
L
12 Mar
vs Bandırmaspor
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Bodrum FK
4–3
W
27 Feb
vs Boluspor
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ 76 Iğdır Belediyespor
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sivasspor and Esenler Erokspor.
What is the prediction for Sivasspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sivasspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
On our numbers Sivasspor have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Esenler Erokspor 60%.
How many goals will there be in Sivasspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sivasspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
Our predicted score is Sivasspor 1–1 Esenler Erokspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sivasspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
Sivasspor vs Esenler Erokspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at BG Grup 4 Eylül Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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