Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Keçiörengücü to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKeçiörengücü to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceKeçiörengücü or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.87
Keçiörengücü vs Vanspor FK preview and prediction
The match
Keçiörengücü host Vanspor FK in the 1. Lig on Saturday 4 April, with kick-off at 11:30 (WAT) at Aktepe Stadium. Keçiörengücü are 6th with 23 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Vanspor FK sit 14th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Keçiörengücü's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Sarıyer 1–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Vanspor FK's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Sarıyer 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Keçiörengücü and 1.0 for Vanspor FK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Keçiörengücü 58%, draw 22%, Vanspor FK 19%.
Safer route: Keçiörengücü or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Keçiörengücü to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Keçiörengücü or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Keçiörengücü 1–0 Vanspor FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Keçiörengücü58%fair 1.71 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.50
Vanspor FK19%fair 5.15 · @3.40
2.79Expected goals
1.84Keçiörengücü xG
0.95Vanspor FK xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Keçiörengücü 1.8 – 1.0 Vanspor FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Keçiörengücü to win✓
58%
1.71
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Keçiörengücü or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Half-time result
Keçiörengücü ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Keçiörengücü / FT Keçiörengücü✓
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.87
–
Form
Keçiörengücü – last 6
LDWLWL
15 Mar
@ Sarıyer
1–3
L
11 Mar
vs Sakaryaspor
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Sivasspor
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Erzurumspor FK
2–4
L
23 Feb
@ Pendikspor
1–0
W
18 Feb
vs Erzurum BB
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vanspor FK – last 6
DLWDLL
22 Mar
vs Sarıyer
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Sakaryaspor
1–2
L
10 Mar
vs Adana Demirspor
1–0
W
6 Mar
@ Pendikspor
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Erzurumspor FK
0–3
L
23 Feb
@ Amed
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Keçiörengücü and Vanspor FK.
What is the prediction for Keçiörengücü vs Vanspor FK?
Our pick is Keçiörengücü or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Keçiörengücü vs Vanspor FK?
On our numbers Keçiörengücü have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vanspor FK 19%.
How many goals will there be in Keçiörengücü vs Vanspor FK?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Keçiörengücü vs Vanspor FK?
Our predicted score is Keçiörengücü 1–0 Vanspor FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Keçiörengücü vs Vanspor FK?
Keçiörengücü vs Vanspor FK (1. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Aktepe Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.