Double chanceErzurumspor FK or draw ✓91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.14
Erzurumspor FK vs Hatayspor preview and prediction
The match
Hatayspor travel to Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu in the 1. Lig on Sunday 15 March (11:30 WAT) to face Erzurumspor FK.
Form guide
Erzurumspor FK's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Ümraniyespor 1–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.7 per game.
Hatayspor's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Sivasspor 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Erzurumspor FK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.5 for Erzurumspor FK and 0.7 for Hatayspor. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 50% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Erzurumspor FK 77%, draw 14%, Hatayspor 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 2.70, above our fair price of 1.99, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Erzurumspor FK 2–1 Hatayspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Erzurumspor FK77%fair 1.30 · @1.05
Draw14%fair 7.18 · @13.00
Hatayspor9%fair 11.19 · @41.00
3.27Expected goals
2.54Erzurumspor FK xG
0.73Hatayspor xG
50%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
3–010%
1–010%
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Erzurumspor FK 2.5 – 0.7 Hatayspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Erzurumspor FK to win✓
77%
1.30
1.05
Double chance
Erzurumspor FK or draw✓
91%
1.10
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.70 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Erzurumspor FK ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Erzurumspor FK / FT Erzurumspor FK✓
53%
1.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.14
–
Form
Erzurumspor FK – last 6
LWWWWW
11 Mar
@ Ümraniyespor
1–3
L
7 Mar
vs Manisa F.K.
8–1
W
4 Mar
vs Keçiörengücü
4–2
W
28 Feb
@ Van Spor Kulübü
3–0
W
22 Feb
vs Serik Belediyespor
4–0
W
18 Feb
@ Keçiörengücü
2–1
W
3.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Hatayspor – last 5
LLLLL
11 Mar
vs Sivasspor
1–2
L
28 Feb
vs Bodrum FK
1–3
L
22 Feb
@ Bandırmaspor
0–4
L
17 Feb
vs 76 Iğdır Belediyespor
0–2
L
13 Feb
@ Boluspor
1–3
L
0.6Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Erzurumspor FK and Hatayspor.
What is the prediction for Erzurumspor FK vs Hatayspor?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.70.
Who will win Erzurumspor FK vs Hatayspor?
On our numbers Erzurumspor FK have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Hatayspor 9%.
How many goals will there be in Erzurumspor FK vs Hatayspor?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erzurumspor FK vs Hatayspor?
Our predicted score is Erzurumspor FK 2–1 Hatayspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Erzurumspor FK vs Hatayspor?
Erzurumspor FK vs Hatayspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sivasspor1
Ümraniyespor0
Sakaryaspor2
Van Spor Kulübü1
Sarıyer3
Keçiörengücü1
Amed2
Manisa F.K.0