Value bet: Bandırmaspor to win @ 2.65 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBandırmaspor to win ✓41% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.59
Ümraniyespor vs Bandırmaspor preview and prediction
The match
Bandırmaspor travel to Spoi̇nt İnşaat Ümrani̇yespor Stadyumu in the 1. Lig on Sunday 1 March (14:00 WAT) to face Ümraniyespor. Ümraniyespor are 12th with 17 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Bandırmaspor sit 15th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ümraniyespor's last 3: LWD Most recently they lost to Yeni Çorumspor 0–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Bandırmaspor's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Hatayspor 4–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Ümraniyespor and 1.3 for Bandırmaspor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Bandırmaspor to win at 2.65 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Ümraniyespor 1–1 Bandırmaspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ümraniyespor35%fair 2.87 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
Bandırmaspor41%fair 2.43 · @2.65
2.56Expected goals
1.21Ümraniyespor xG
1.35Bandırmaspor xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ümraniyespor 1.2 – 1.3 Bandırmaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bandırmaspor to win✓
41%
2.43
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bandırmaspor / FT Bandırmaspor✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.59
–
Form
Ümraniyespor – last 3
LWD
22 Feb
@ Yeni Çorumspor
0–2
L
17 Feb
vs Boluspor
4–2
W
13 Feb
@ 76 Iğdır Belediyespor
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bandırmaspor – last 3
WLL
22 Feb
vs Hatayspor
4–0
W
18 Feb
@ Manisa BBSK
2–3
L
14 Feb
vs Serik Belediyespor
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ümraniyespor and Bandırmaspor.
What is the prediction for Ümraniyespor vs Bandırmaspor?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Ümraniyespor vs Bandırmaspor?
On our numbers Ümraniyespor have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bandırmaspor 41%.
How many goals will there be in Ümraniyespor vs Bandırmaspor?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ümraniyespor vs Bandırmaspor?
Our predicted score is Ümraniyespor 1–1 Bandırmaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ümraniyespor vs Bandırmaspor?
Ümraniyespor vs Bandırmaspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Spoi̇nt İnşaat Ümrani̇yespor Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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