Value bet: FC Porto B to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLusitânia Lourosa to win ✗39% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.92
Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda Liga sees Lusitânia Lourosa take on FC Porto B on Monday 13 April, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Estádio do Lusitânia FC. Lusitânia Lourosa are 4th with 19 points from 10 games (in the top four), while FC Porto B sit 16th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Lusitânia Lourosa's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with União de Leiria 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Porto B's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Chaves 3–0 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Lusitânia Lourosa and 1.3 for FC Porto B. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lusitânia Lourosa 39%, draw 24%, FC Porto B 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: FC Porto B to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lusitânia Lourosa 1–1 FC Porto B. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lusitânia Lourosa39%fair 2.55 · @2.26
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.10
FC Porto B36%fair 2.75 · @3.10
2.57Expected goals
1.32Lusitânia Lourosa xG
1.25FC Porto B xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Lusitânia Lourosa 1.3 – 1.3 FC Porto B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lusitânia Lourosa to win✗
39%
2.55
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lusitânia Lourosa / FT Lusitânia Lourosa✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.92
–
Form
Lusitânia Lourosa – last 6
DLLWLW
5 Apr
@ União de Leiria
0–0
D
21 Mar
vs Academico Viseu
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Vizela
3–4
L
8 Mar
vs Sporting CP B
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Farense
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Feirense
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Porto B – last 5
WDLWD
6 Apr
vs Chaves
3–0
W
16 Mar
vs Oliveirense
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Maritimo
1–2
L
23 Feb
vs Pacos Ferreira
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ União de Leiria
2–2
D
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lusitânia Lourosa and FC Porto B.
What is the prediction for Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B?
On our numbers Lusitânia Lourosa have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Porto B 36%.
How many goals will there be in Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B?
Our predicted score is Lusitânia Lourosa 1–1 FC Porto B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B?
Lusitânia Lourosa vs FC Porto B (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Lusitânia FC.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
