Chaves travel to CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira in the Segunda Liga on Friday 13 March (19:00 WAT) to face Sporting CP B. Sporting CP B are 2nd with 22 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Chaves sit 17th on 8 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sporting CP B's last 4: LLLW Most recently they lost to Lusitânia Lourosa 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Chaves's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Academico Viseu 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chaves arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Sporting CP B and 1.1 for Chaves. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting CP B 39%, draw 24%, Chaves 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sporting CP B 1–1 Chaves. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting CP B39%fair 2.53 · @2.52
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Chaves36%fair 2.77 · @2.70
2.36Expected goals
1.22Sporting CP B xG
1.15Chaves xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sporting CP B 1.2 – 1.1 Chaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP B to win✗
39%
2.53
2.52
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP B / FT Sporting CP B✗
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.52
–
Form
Sporting CP B – last 4
LLLW
8 Mar
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs Leixoes
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Maritimo
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Portimonense
4–3
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Chaves – last 3
WWL
6 Mar
vs Academico Viseu
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Farense
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Feirense
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting CP B and Chaves.
What is the prediction for Sporting CP B vs Chaves?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sporting CP B vs Chaves?
On our numbers Sporting CP B have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chaves 36%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting CP B vs Chaves?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting CP B vs Chaves?
Our predicted score is Sporting CP B 1–1 Chaves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sporting CP B vs Chaves?
Sporting CP B vs Chaves (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
