Value bet: SV Lafnitz to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSV Lafnitz to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.80
SV Lafnitz vs Velden preview and prediction
The match
Velden travel to Sportplatz Lafnitz in the Regionalliga Mitte on Friday 27 February (19:00 WAT) to face SV Lafnitz.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.2 for SV Lafnitz and 1.4 for Velden. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: SV Lafnitz to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: SV Lafnitz 2–1 Velden. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SV Lafnitz56%fair 1.80 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.75
Velden22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
3.62Expected goals
2.24SV Lafnitz xG
1.39Velden xG
55%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: SV Lafnitz 2.2 – 1.4 Velden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SV Lafnitz to win✗
56%
1.80
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
SV Lafnitz ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SV Lafnitz / FT SV Lafnitz✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.80
–
Form
SV Lafnitz
No recent results on record.
Velden
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SV Lafnitz and Velden.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win SV Lafnitz vs Velden?
On our numbers SV Lafnitz have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Velden 22%.
How many goals will there be in SV Lafnitz vs Velden?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SV Lafnitz vs Velden?
Our predicted score is SV Lafnitz 2–1 Velden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is SV Lafnitz vs Velden?
SV Lafnitz vs Velden (Regionalliga Mitte) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportplatz Lafnitz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Regionalliga Mitte · Austria · Sportplatz Lafnitz
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