Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.75 – our chance 52% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +43%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarcelona W to win ✓77% · @1.01
Double chanceBarcelona W or draw ✓94% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗9% · fair 11.36
Madrid CFF W vs Barcelona W preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División Femenina sees Madrid CFF W take on Barcelona W on Sunday 31 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Estadio Fernando Torres. Madrid CFF W are 4th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Barcelona W sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Madrid CFF W's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Granada 4–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Barcelona W's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Real Sociedad W 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 4.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Barcelona W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 0.9 for Madrid CFF W and 3.0 for Barcelona W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Madrid CFF W 6%, draw 16%, Barcelona W 77%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.75.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.75 – 52% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 3.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Madrid CFF W 1–3 Barcelona W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Madrid CFF W6%fair 15.81 · @46.00
Draw16%fair 6.14 · @10.50
Barcelona W77%fair 1.29 · @1.01
3.98Expected goals
0.93Madrid CFF W xG
3.05Barcelona W xG
52%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–39%
0–29%
1–38%
1–28%
0–47%
1–46%
From our goals model: Madrid CFF W 0.9 – 3.0 Barcelona W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barcelona W to win✓
77%
1.29
1.01
Double chance
Barcelona W or draw✓
94%
1.07
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.33
Half-time result
Barcelona W ahead at half-time✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barcelona W / FT Barcelona W✓
56%
1.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
9%
11.36
–
Form
Madrid CFF W – last 6
WWLLDL
26 May
@ Granada
4–3
W
11 May
vs Sevilla W
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Real Madrid W
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Granad. Tenerife W
0–2
L
21 Mar
vs Espanyol W
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Athletic Club W
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Barcelona W – last 6
WWWWWW
27 May
vs Real Sociedad W
2–1
W
6 May
vs Levante W
5–0
W
22 Apr
@ Espanyol W
4–1
W
6 Apr
vs FC Levante Badalona
6–0
W
2 Apr
vs Real Madrid W
6–0
W
29 Mar
@ Real Madrid W
3–0
W
4.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Madrid CFF W and Barcelona W.
What is the prediction for Madrid CFF W vs Barcelona W?
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Madrid CFF W vs Barcelona W?
On our numbers Madrid CFF W have a 6% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Barcelona W 77%.
How many goals will there be in Madrid CFF W vs Barcelona W?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Madrid CFF W vs Barcelona W?
Our predicted score is Madrid CFF W 1–3 Barcelona W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Madrid CFF W vs Barcelona W?
Madrid CFF W vs Barcelona W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Fernando Torres.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Alhama W1
Levante W0