Real Madrid W vs Atletico Madrid W prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Madrid W to win57% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.15
Real Madrid W vs Atletico Madrid W preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Madrid W travel to Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano in the Primera División Femenina on Sunday 10 May (16:00 WAT) to face Real Madrid W. Real Madrid W are 2nd with 23 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Atletico Madrid W sit 3rd on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Real Madrid W's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Madrid CFF W 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico Madrid W's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Eibar W 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico Madrid W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.9 for Real Madrid W and 1.1 for Atletico Madrid W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Madrid W 57%, draw 19%, Atletico Madrid W 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Real Madrid W 1–1 Atletico Madrid W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Madrid W57%fair 1.76 · @1.80
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @3.60
Atletico Madrid W24%fair 4.24 · @3.70
3.06Expected goals
1.92Real Madrid W xG
1.14Atletico Madrid W xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Real Madrid W 1.9 – 1.1 Atletico Madrid W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Madrid W to win
57%
1.76
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.45
Half-time result
Real Madrid W ahead at half-time
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid W / FT Real Madrid W
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.15
–
Form
Real Madrid W – last 6
WLLLWW
5 Apr
@ Madrid CFF W
2–0
W
2 Apr
@ Barcelona W
0–6
L
29 Mar
vs Barcelona W
0–3
L
25 Mar
vs Barcelona W
2–6
L
22 Mar
@ Eibar W
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Granad. Tenerife W
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atletico Madrid W – last 6
WWWWWW
3 May
vs Eibar W
4–0
W
25 Apr
@ FC Levante Badalona
4–2
W
5 Apr
vs Deportivo de La Coruña W
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Athletic Club W
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Alhama
2–1
W
14 Mar
vs Edf Logrono W
5–0
W
3.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Madrid W and Atletico Madrid W.
What is the prediction for Real Madrid W vs Atletico Madrid W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Real Madrid W vs Atletico Madrid W?
On our numbers Real Madrid W have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Atletico Madrid W 24%.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid W vs Atletico Madrid W?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Madrid W vs Atletico Madrid W?
Our predicted score is Real Madrid W 1–1 Atletico Madrid W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Real Madrid W vs Atletico Madrid W?
Real Madrid W vs Atletico Madrid W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.