Value bet: Alhama to win @ 3.45 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultEibar W to win44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–011% · fair 9.51
Eibar W vs Alhama preview and prediction
The match
Alhama travel to Estadio Municipal de Ipurua in the Primera División Femenina on Saturday 9 May (15:00 WAT) to face Eibar W.
Form guide
Eibar W's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Atletico Madrid W 0–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Alhama's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Espanyol W 3–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Eibar W and 1.2 for Alhama. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Eibar W 44%, draw 22%, Alhama 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Alhama to win at 3.45 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Eibar W 1–1 Alhama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Eibar W44%fair 2.27 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Alhama34%fair 2.98 · @3.45
2.60Expected goals
1.41Eibar W xG
1.19Alhama xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–07%
2–07%
From our goals model: Eibar W 1.4 – 1.2 Alhama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Eibar W to win
44%
2.27
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.76
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.84
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Eibar W / FT Eibar W
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
11%
9.51
–
Form
Eibar W – last 5
LDLLL
3 May
@ Atletico Madrid W
0–4
L
3 Apr
vs Granad. Tenerife W
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Real Madrid W
0–1
L
16 Mar
@ Espanyol W
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Athletic Club W
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Alhama – last 6
WDLLLL
1 May
vs Espanyol W
3–1
W
26 Apr
@ Deportivo de La Coruña W
2–2
D
4 Apr
vs Real Sociedad W
1–5
L
28 Mar
@ FC Levante Badalona
2–3
L
22 Mar
vs Atletico Madrid W
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Sevilla W
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eibar W and Alhama.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Eibar W vs Alhama?
On our numbers Eibar W have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alhama 34%.
How many goals will there be in Eibar W vs Alhama?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eibar W vs Alhama?
Our predicted score is Eibar W 1–1 Alhama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Eibar W vs Alhama?
Eibar W vs Alhama (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
