Sevilla W host Real Madrid W in the Primera División Femenina on Saturday 2 May, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Estadio Jesus Navas. Sevilla W are 13th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Real Madrid W sit 2nd on 23 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sevilla W's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Granad. Tenerife W 0–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Real Madrid W's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Madrid CFF W 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.8 for Sevilla W and 2.2 for Real Madrid W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sevilla W 10%, draw 20%, Real Madrid W 70%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real Madrid W to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Sevilla W 0–2 Real Madrid W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sevilla W10%fair 10.23 · @8.25
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @4.80
Real Madrid W70%fair 1.43 · @1.30
2.99Expected goals
0.75Sevilla W xG
2.24Real Madrid W xG
57%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–111%
1–29%
0–39%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Sevilla W 0.8 – 2.2 Real Madrid W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Madrid W to win
70%
1.43
1.30
Double chance
Real Madrid W or draw
90%
1.11
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.77
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
59%
1.70
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
63%
1.59
1.53
Half-time result
Real Madrid W ahead at half-time
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid W / FT Real Madrid W
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2
13%
7.94
–
Form
Sevilla W – last 5
LLLWW
26 Apr
@ Granad. Tenerife W
0–3
L
4 Apr
@ Edf Logrono W
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs FC Levante Badalona
1–5
L
15 Mar
@ Alhama
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Atletico Madrid W
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Real Madrid W – last 6
WLLLWW
5 Apr
@ Madrid CFF W
2–0
W
2 Apr
@ Barcelona W
0–6
L
29 Mar
vs Barcelona W
0–3
L
25 Mar
vs Barcelona W
2–6
L
22 Mar
@ Eibar W
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Granad. Tenerife W
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sevilla W and Real Madrid W.
What is the prediction for Sevilla W vs Real Madrid W?
Our pick is Real Madrid W to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sevilla W vs Real Madrid W?
On our numbers Sevilla W have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Real Madrid W 70%.
How many goals will there be in Sevilla W vs Real Madrid W?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sevilla W vs Real Madrid W?
Our predicted score is Sevilla W 0–2 Real Madrid W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sevilla W vs Real Madrid W?
Sevilla W vs Real Madrid W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jesus Navas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
