Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Sevilla W to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSevilla W to win ✗64% · @1.85
Double chanceSevilla W or draw ✗88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.83
Edf Logrono W vs Sevilla W preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División Femenina sees Edf Logrono W take on Sevilla W on Saturday 4 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio Las Gaunas. Edf Logrono W are 12th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Sevilla W sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Edf Logrono W's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Real Sociedad W 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sevilla W's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to FC Levante Badalona 1–5 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Sevilla W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Edf Logrono W and 1.8 for Sevilla W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Edf Logrono W 12%, draw 24%, Sevilla W 64%.
Safer route: Sevilla W or draw (88%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Sevilla W to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sevilla W or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Edf Logrono W 0–1 Sevilla W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Edf Logrono W12%fair 8.27 · @4.10
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Sevilla W64%fair 1.57 · @1.85
2.53Expected goals
0.69Edf Logrono W xG
1.84Sevilla W xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–08%
From our goals model: Edf Logrono W 0.7 – 1.8 Sevilla W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sevilla W to win✗
64%
1.57
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Sevilla W or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Half-time result
Sevilla W ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevilla W / FT Sevilla W✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.83
–
Form
Edf Logrono W – last 5
DLLLD
29 Mar
@ Real Sociedad W
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Granad. Tenerife W
0–1
L
14 Mar
@ Atletico Madrid W
0–5
L
21 Feb
vs FC Levante Badalona
2–3
L
15 Feb
@ Espanyol W
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Sevilla W – last 3
LWW
22 Mar
vs FC Levante Badalona
1–5
L
15 Mar
@ Alhama
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Atletico Madrid W
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Edf Logrono W and Sevilla W.
What is the prediction for Edf Logrono W vs Sevilla W?
Our pick is Sevilla W or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Edf Logrono W vs Sevilla W?
On our numbers Edf Logrono W have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sevilla W 64%.
How many goals will there be in Edf Logrono W vs Sevilla W?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Edf Logrono W vs Sevilla W?
Our predicted score is Edf Logrono W 0–1 Sevilla W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Edf Logrono W vs Sevilla W?
Edf Logrono W vs Sevilla W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Las Gaunas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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