Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Atletico Madrid W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Atletico Madrid W to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Madrid W to win ✓64% · @1.91
Double chanceAtletico Madrid W or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.53
Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Madrid W travel to Lezama Facilities in the Primera División Femenina on Sunday 29 March (16:00 WAT) to face Athletic Club W. Athletic Club W are 5th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Atletico Madrid W sit 3rd on 19 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Athletic Club W's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Madrid CFF W 4–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Atletico Madrid W's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Alhama 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Athletic Club W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for Athletic Club W and 2.0 for Atletico Madrid W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Athletic Club W 14%, draw 21%, Atletico Madrid W 64%.
Safer route: Atletico Madrid W or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Atletico Madrid W to win at 1.91 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Madrid W or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Athletic Club W 0–2 Atletico Madrid W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Athletic Club W14%fair 7.07 · @3.50
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.35
Atletico Madrid W64%fair 1.55 · @1.91
2.86Expected goals
0.84Athletic Club W xG
2.02Atletico Madrid W xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Athletic Club W 0.8 – 2.0 Atletico Madrid W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Madrid W to win✓
64%
1.55
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Atletico Madrid W or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.28
Half-time result
Atletico Madrid W ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Madrid W / FT Atletico Madrid W✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.53
–
Form
Athletic Club W – last 3
WWL
15 Mar
vs Madrid CFF W
4–1
W
22 Feb
@ Eibar W
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Real Sociedad W
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atletico Madrid W – last 5
WWLLD
22 Mar
@ Alhama
2–1
W
14 Mar
vs Edf Logrono W
5–0
W
22 Feb
@ Sevilla W
1–2
L
19 Feb
@ Manchester United W
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Madrid CFF W
0–0
D
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Club W and Atletico Madrid W.
What is the prediction for Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W?
Our pick is Atletico Madrid W or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W?
On our numbers Athletic Club W have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atletico Madrid W 64%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W?
Our predicted score is Athletic Club W 0–2 Atletico Madrid W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W?
Athletic Club W vs Atletico Madrid W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lezama Facilities.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
