Value bet: Granada to win @ 1.77 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGranada to win ✓63% · @1.77
Double chanceGranada or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.51
Granada vs Deportivo de La Coruña W preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División Femenina sees Granada take on Deportivo de La Coruña W on Monday 23 March, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Ciudad Deportiva del Granada. Granada are 11th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo de La Coruña W sit 10th on 11 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Granada and 0.9 for Deportivo de La Coruña W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Granada 63%, draw 20%, Deportivo de La Coruña W 18%.
Safer route: Granada or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Granada to win at 1.77 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Granada 2–0 Deportivo de La Coruña W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Granada63%fair 1.59 · @1.77
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.60
Deportivo de La Coruña W18%fair 5.70 · @3.90
2.79Expected goals
1.92Granada xG
0.87Deportivo de La Coruña W xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Granada 1.9 – 0.9 Deportivo de La Coruña W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Granada to win✓
63%
1.59
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Granada or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Half-time result
Granada ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Granada / FT Granada✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.51
–
Form
Granada – last 2
WW
15 Mar
@ FC Levante Badalona
4–0
W
14 Feb
vs Levante W
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo de La Coruña W – last 2
LW
15 Mar
vs Barcelona W
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Levante W
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Granada and Deportivo de La Coruña W.
What is the prediction for Granada vs Deportivo de La Coruña W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Granada vs Deportivo de La Coruña W?
On our numbers Granada have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Deportivo de La Coruña W 18%.
How many goals will there be in Granada vs Deportivo de La Coruña W?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Granada vs Deportivo de La Coruña W?
Our predicted score is Granada 2–0 Deportivo de La Coruña W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Granada vs Deportivo de La Coruña W?
Granada vs Deportivo de La Coruña W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad Deportiva del Granada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
