Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Madrid W to win ✓71% · @1.14
Double chanceReal Madrid W or draw ✓89% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗13% · fair 7.66
Eibar W vs Real Madrid W preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División Femenina sees Eibar W take on Real Madrid W on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua. Eibar W are 9th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Real Madrid W sit 2nd on 23 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Real Madrid W's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Granad. Tenerife W 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.7 for Eibar W and 2.2 for Real Madrid W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 50% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Eibar W 11%, draw 18%, Real Madrid W 71%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.30.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.30 – 50% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Eibar W 0–2 Real Madrid W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Eibar W11%fair 8.91 · @18.00
Draw18%fair 5.70 · @6.00
Real Madrid W71%fair 1.40 · @1.14
2.91Expected goals
0.72Eibar W xG
2.18Real Madrid W xG
50%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–112%
0–310%
1–29%
1–19%
1–37%
From our goals model: Eibar W 0.7 – 2.2 Real Madrid W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Madrid W to win✓
71%
1.40
1.14
Double chance
Real Madrid W or draw✓
89%
1.13
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.62
Half-time result
Real Madrid W ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid W / FT Real Madrid W✓
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
13%
7.66
–
Form
Eibar W – last 2
LL
16 Mar
@ Espanyol W
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Athletic Club W
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Real Madrid W – last 3
WWW
22 Feb
vs Granad. Tenerife W
2–0
W
18 Feb
vs Paris FC W
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Alhama
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eibar W and Real Madrid W.
What is the prediction for Eibar W vs Real Madrid W?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Eibar W vs Real Madrid W?
On our numbers Eibar W have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Real Madrid W 71%.
How many goals will there be in Eibar W vs Real Madrid W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eibar W vs Real Madrid W?
Our predicted score is Eibar W 0–2 Real Madrid W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Eibar W vs Real Madrid W?
Eibar W vs Real Madrid W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Alhama1