Value bet: Atletico Madrid W to win @ 1.77 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Madrid W to win ✗63% · @1.77
Double chanceAtletico Madrid W or draw ✗84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.31
Sevilla W vs Atletico Madrid W preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Madrid W travel to Estadio Jesus Navas in the Primera División Femenina on Sunday 22 February (18:00 WAT) to face Sevilla W. Sevilla W are 13th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Atletico Madrid W sit 3rd on 19 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Sevilla W and 2.1 for Atletico Madrid W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sevilla W 16%, draw 21%, Atletico Madrid W 63%.
Safer route: Atletico Madrid W or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Atletico Madrid W to win at 1.77 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sevilla W 0–2 Atletico Madrid W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sevilla W16%fair 6.23 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.45
Atletico Madrid W63%fair 1.58 · @1.77
2.98Expected goals
0.92Sevilla W xG
2.05Atletico Madrid W xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Sevilla W 0.9 – 2.1 Atletico Madrid W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Madrid W to win✗
63%
1.58
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Atletico Madrid W or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.36
Half-time result
Atletico Madrid W ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Madrid W / FT Atletico Madrid W✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.31
–
Form
Sevilla W
No recent results on record.
Atletico Madrid W – last 2
LD
19 Feb
@ Manchester United W
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Madrid CFF W
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sevilla W and Atletico Madrid W.
What is the prediction for Sevilla W vs Atletico Madrid W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sevilla W vs Atletico Madrid W?
On our numbers Sevilla W have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atletico Madrid W 63%.
How many goals will there be in Sevilla W vs Atletico Madrid W?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sevilla W vs Atletico Madrid W?
Our predicted score is Sevilla W 0–2 Atletico Madrid W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sevilla W vs Atletico Madrid W?
Sevilla W vs Atletico Madrid W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jesus Navas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
