Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✗87% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.70
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka preview and prediction
The match
Shakhtar Donetsk host Kolos Kovalivka in the Premier League on Thursday 21 May, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Ukraina Stadium. Shakhtar Donetsk are 1st with 29 points from 12 games (top of the table), while Kolos Kovalivka sit 8th on 12 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Shakhtar Donetsk's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Kryvbas KR 3–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Kolos Kovalivka's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Obolon'-Brovar 0–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.7 for Kolos Kovalivka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 47%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Kolos Kovalivka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shakhtar Donetsk67%fair 1.49 · @1.28
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.40
Kolos Kovalivka13%fair 7.90 · @10.75
2.53Expected goals
1.87Shakhtar Donetsk xG
0.66Kolos Kovalivka xG
47%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Shakhtar Donetsk 1.9 – 0.7 Kolos Kovalivka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shakhtar Donetsk to win✗
67%
1.49
1.28
Double chance
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw✗
87%
1.14
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.33
Half-time result
Shakhtar Donetsk ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.70
–
Form
Shakhtar Donetsk – last 6
WWWLLW
17 May
@ Kryvbas KR
3–2
W
13 May
vs Obolon'-Brovar
3–1
W
10 May
@ SK Poltava
4–0
W
7 May
@ Crystal Palace
1–2
L
30 Apr
vs Crystal Palace
1–3
L
23 Apr
@ Zorya Luhansk
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Kolos Kovalivka – last 6
LLWWWD
17 May
vs Obolon'-Brovar
0–2
L
13 May
@ Dynamo Kyiv
1–2
L
8 May
vs Kudrivka
1–0
W
24 Apr
vs SK Poltava
2–0
W
18 Apr
vs LNZ Cherkasy
1–0
W
10 Apr
@ Ruh Lviv
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shakhtar Donetsk and Kolos Kovalivka.
What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka?
On our numbers Shakhtar Donetsk have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kolos Kovalivka 13%.
How many goals will there be in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka?
Our predicted score is Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Kolos Kovalivka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka?
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Ukraina Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
