Value bet: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLNZ Cherkasy to win ✗39% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.78
LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv preview and prediction
The match
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv travel to Cherkasy Arena in the Premier League on Sunday 26 April (13:30 WAT) to face LNZ Cherkasy. LNZ Cherkasy are 6th with 18 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Metalist 1925 Kharkiv sit 4th on 21 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
LNZ Cherkasy's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Kolos Kovalivka 0–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Veres Rivne 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for LNZ Cherkasy and 0.9 for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Value angle: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: LNZ Cherkasy 1–0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
LNZ Cherkasy39%fair 2.55 · @2.35
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.75
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv34%fair 2.96 · @3.25
1.93Expected goals
1.01LNZ Cherkasy xG
0.91Metalist 1925 Kharkiv xG
48%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: LNZ Cherkasy 1.0 – 0.9 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
LNZ Cherkasy to win✗
39%
2.55
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.78
–
Form
LNZ Cherkasy – last 6
LDWWLW
18 Apr
@ Kolos Kovalivka
0–1
L
13 Apr
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Kryvbas KR
3–0
W
9 Mar
@ Veres Rivne
3–0
W
28 Feb
vs Polessya
1–3
L
21 Feb
@ Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv – last 6
WDWLWW
15 Apr
vs Veres Rivne
4–0
W
4 Apr
@ Kolos Kovalivka
0–0
D
19 Mar
vs SK Poltava
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
0–1
L
9 Mar
@ Ruh Lviv
3–0
W
5 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Kyiv
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between LNZ Cherkasy and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv.
What is the prediction for LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
On our numbers LNZ Cherkasy have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 34%.
How many goals will there be in LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
Our predicted score is LNZ Cherkasy 1–0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Cherkasy Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
