Value bet: Penya Encarnada to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrdino to win45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–09% · fair 10.64
Ordino vs Penya Encarnada preview and prediction
The match
The 1a Divisió sees Ordino take on Penya Encarnada on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Andorra Football Federation stadiums. Ordino are 5th with 12 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Penya Encarnada sit 6th on 9 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ordino's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Inter Club d'Escaldes 0–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Penya Encarnada's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Esperança d'Andorra 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Penya Encarnada arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Ordino and 1.3 for Penya Encarnada. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ordino 45%, draw 19%, Penya Encarnada 36%.
Value angle: Penya Encarnada to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 52% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Ordino 2–1 Penya Encarnada. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ordino45%fair 2.22 · @2.00
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.60
Penya Encarnada36%fair 2.81 · @3.00
2.76Expected goals
1.48Ordino xG
1.28Penya Encarnada xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Ordino 1.5 – 1.3 Penya Encarnada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ordino to win
45%
2.22
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ordino / FT Ordino
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
9%
10.64
–
Form
Ordino – last 5
LDLLW
19 Apr
@ Inter Club d'Escaldes
0–4
L
22 Mar
@ Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ UE Santa Coloma
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ UE Santa Coloma
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs FC Santa Coloma
2–1
W
0.6Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Penya Encarnada – last 3
WLD
13 Apr
@ Esperança d'Andorra
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Inter Club d'Escaldes
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Carroi
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ordino and Penya Encarnada.
What is the prediction for Ordino vs Penya Encarnada?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Ordino vs Penya Encarnada?
On our numbers Ordino have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Penya Encarnada 36%.
How many goals will there be in Ordino vs Penya Encarnada?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ordino vs Penya Encarnada?
Our predicted score is Ordino 2–1 Penya Encarnada, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ordino vs Penya Encarnada?
Ordino vs Penya Encarnada (1a Divisió) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Andorra Football Federation stadiums.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
