Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPenya Encarnada to win ✗63% · @1.62
Double chancePenya Encarnada or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.99
Penya Encarnada vs Carroi preview and prediction
The match
Carroi travel to face Penya Encarnada in the 1a Divisió on Sunday 22 February (13:15 WAT). Penya Encarnada are 6th with 9 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Carroi sit 10th on 1 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Penya Encarnada and 0.8 for Carroi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 44%.
Our pre-match pick was Penya Encarnada to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Penya Encarnada 1–0 Carroi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Penya Encarnada63%fair 1.58 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.50
Carroi14%fair 7.14 · @4.75
2.74Expected goals
1.94Penya Encarnada xG
0.80Carroi xG
44%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Penya Encarnada 1.9 – 0.8 Carroi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penya Encarnada to win✗
63%
1.58
1.62
Double chance
Penya Encarnada or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Penya Encarnada ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penya Encarnada / FT Penya Encarnada✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.99
–
Form
Penya Encarnada
No recent results on record.
Carroi – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Esperança d'Andorra
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Penya Encarnada and Carroi.
What is the prediction for Penya Encarnada vs Carroi?
Our pick is Penya Encarnada to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Penya Encarnada vs Carroi?
On our numbers Penya Encarnada have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Carroi 14%.
How many goals will there be in Penya Encarnada vs Carroi?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penya Encarnada vs Carroi?
Our predicted score is Penya Encarnada 1–0 Carroi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Penya Encarnada vs Carroi?
Penya Encarnada vs Carroi (1a Divisió) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
