Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting CP to win ✓72% · @1.20
Double chanceSporting CP or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Sporting CP vs Estoril preview and prediction
The match
Sporting CP host Estoril in the Primeira Liga on Friday 27 February, with kick-off at 21:45 (WAT) at Estádio José Alvalade. Sporting CP are 3rd with 24 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Estoril sit 18th on 2 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.5 for Sporting CP and 1.0 for Estoril. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sporting CP to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sporting CP 2–0 Estoril. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting CP72%fair 1.39 · @1.20
Draw15%fair 6.73 · @6.40
Estoril13%fair 7.47 · @12.50
3.49Expected goals
2.52Sporting CP xG
0.97Estoril xG
61%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–08%
1–17%
From our goals model: Sporting CP 2.5 – 1.0 Estoril expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP to win✓
72%
1.39
1.20
Double chance
Sporting CP or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.90
Half-time result
Sporting CP ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP✓
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.37
–
Form
Sporting CP – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Famalicao
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Estoril – last 2
WL
22 Feb
vs GIL Vicente
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ AVS
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting CP and Estoril.
What is the prediction for Sporting CP vs Estoril?
Our pick is Sporting CP to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sporting CP vs Estoril?
On our numbers Sporting CP have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Estoril 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting CP vs Estoril?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting CP vs Estoril?
Our predicted score is Sporting CP 2–0 Estoril, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Sporting CP vs Estoril?
Sporting CP vs Estoril (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 21:45 (West Africa Time) at Estádio José Alvalade.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
