Podbeskidzie vs Podhale Nowy Targ prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Podbeskidzie or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Podbeskidzie to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPodbeskidzie to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chancePodbeskidzie or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.10
Podbeskidzie vs Podhale Nowy Targ preview and prediction
The match
Podhale Nowy Targ travel to Stadion Miejski in the II Liga East on Saturday 30 May (13:30 WAT) to face Podbeskidzie.
Form guide
Podbeskidzie's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Świt Skolwin 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Podhale Nowy Targ's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Warta Poznań 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Podbeskidzie arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Podbeskidzie and 0.8 for Podhale Nowy Targ. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Podbeskidzie 63%, draw 22%, Podhale Nowy Targ 15%.
Safer route: Podbeskidzie or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Podbeskidzie to win at 1.75 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Podbeskidzie or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Podbeskidzie 1–0 Podhale Nowy Targ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Podbeskidzie63%fair 1.58 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.50
Podhale Nowy Targ15%fair 6.72 · @3.60
2.75Expected goals
1.93Podbeskidzie xG
0.82Podhale Nowy Targ xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Podbeskidzie 1.9 – 0.8 Podhale Nowy Targ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Podbeskidzie to win✓
63%
1.58
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Podbeskidzie or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Podbeskidzie ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Podbeskidzie / FT Podbeskidzie✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.10
–
Form
Podbeskidzie – last 6
WWWDWD
1 May
@ Świt Skolwin
2–0
W
24 Apr
vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Kalisz
4–1
W
22 Mar
vs Olimpia Grudziądz
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ ŁKS Łódź II
4–1
W
27 Feb
vs Chojniczanka Chojnice
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Podhale Nowy Targ – last 6
DLDWDW
23 May
vs Warta Poznań
2–2
D
17 May
@ Hutnik Kraków
0–1
L
3 May
@ Sandecja Nowy Sącz
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Świt Skolwin
3–1
W
19 Apr
@ ŁKS Łódź II
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs Sokół Kleczew
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Podbeskidzie and Podhale Nowy Targ.
What is the prediction for Podbeskidzie vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
Our pick is Podbeskidzie or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Podbeskidzie vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
On our numbers Podbeskidzie have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Podhale Nowy Targ 15%.
How many goals will there be in Podbeskidzie vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Podbeskidzie vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
Our predicted score is Podbeskidzie 1–0 Podhale Nowy Targ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Podbeskidzie vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
Podbeskidzie vs Podhale Nowy Targ (II Liga East) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kalisz2
Unia Skierniewice1
ŁKS Łódź II1
Zaglebie Sosnowiec0
Warta Poznań2