Stal Stalowa Wola vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Stal Stalowa Wola or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Stal Stalowa Wola to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultStal Stalowa Wola to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceStal Stalowa Wola or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.04
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała preview and prediction
The match
Stal Stalowa Wola host Rekord Bielsko-Biała in the II Liga East on Friday 24 April, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Podkarpackie Centrum Pilki Noznej. Stal Stalowa Wola are 13th with 19 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Rekord Bielsko-Biała sit 14th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Stal Stalowa Wola's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Warta Poznań 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Rekord Bielsko-Biała's last 4: DWDL Most recently they drew with Hutnik Kraków 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Stal Stalowa Wola and 1.0 for Rekord Bielsko-Biała. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 60%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stal Stalowa Wola 59%, draw 24%, Rekord Bielsko-Biała 17%.
Safer route: Stal Stalowa Wola or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Stal Stalowa Wola to win at 1.80 – 59% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Stal Stalowa Wola or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Stal Stalowa Wola 2–1 Rekord Bielsko-Biała. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stal Stalowa Wola59%fair 1.70 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.20
Rekord Bielsko-Biała17%fair 5.92 · @3.80
3.02Expected goals
2.01Stal Stalowa Wola xG
1.01Rekord Bielsko-Biała xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Stal Stalowa Wola 2.0 – 1.0 Rekord Bielsko-Biała expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stal Stalowa Wola to win✗
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Stal Stalowa Wola or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Stal Stalowa Wola ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stal Stalowa Wola / FT Stal Stalowa Wola✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.04
–
Form
Stal Stalowa Wola – last 6
LWDDLL
11 Apr
vs Warta Poznań
0–1
L
2 Apr
@ ŁKS Łódź II
2–0
W
28 Mar
vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Kalisz
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Śląsk Wrocław II
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Unia Skierniewice
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Rekord Bielsko-Biała – last 4
DWDL
2 Apr
vs Hutnik Kraków
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Zaglebie Sosnowiec
4–0
W
18 Mar
vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Unia Skierniewice
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stal Stalowa Wola and Rekord Bielsko-Biała.
What is the prediction for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała?
Our pick is Stal Stalowa Wola or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Stal Stalowa Wola vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała?
On our numbers Stal Stalowa Wola have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rekord Bielsko-Biała 17%.
How many goals will there be in Stal Stalowa Wola vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała?
Our predicted score is Stal Stalowa Wola 2–1 Rekord Bielsko-Biała, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Stal Stalowa Wola vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała?
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała (II Liga East) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Podkarpackie Centrum Pilki Noznej.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.