Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Podhale Nowy Targ to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPodhale Nowy Targ to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chancePodhale Nowy Targ or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.38
Kalisz vs Podhale Nowy Targ preview and prediction
The match
The II Liga East sees Kalisz take on Podhale Nowy Targ on Thursday 2 April, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski.
Form guide
Kalisz's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Podbeskidzie 1–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Podhale Nowy Targ's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Unia Skierniewice 3–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Podhale Nowy Targ arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for Kalisz and 1.7 for Podhale Nowy Targ. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kalisz 16%, draw 21%, Podhale Nowy Targ 63%.
Safer route: Podhale Nowy Targ or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Podhale Nowy Targ to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Podhale Nowy Targ or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kalisz 0–1 Podhale Nowy Targ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kalisz16%fair 6.37 · @3.80
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.10
Podhale Nowy Targ63%fair 1.57 · @1.85
2.39Expected goals
0.68Kalisz xG
1.71Podhale Nowy Targ xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–09%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Kalisz 0.7 – 1.7 Podhale Nowy Targ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Podhale Nowy Targ to win✗
63%
1.57
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Podhale Nowy Targ or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Podhale Nowy Targ / FT Podhale Nowy Targ✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.38
–
Form
Kalisz – last 5
LDLLL
29 Mar
@ Podbeskidzie
1–4
L
18 Mar
vs Stal Stalowa Wola
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ ŁKS Łódź II
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Chojniczanka Chojnice
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Hutnik Kraków
0–4
L
0.4Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Podhale Nowy Targ – last 5
DWLDL
22 Mar
@ Unia Skierniewice
3–3
D
15 Mar
vs Resovia Rzeszów
2–1
W
7 Mar
@ Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Stal Stalowa Wola
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Olimpia Grudziądz
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kalisz and Podhale Nowy Targ.
What is the prediction for Kalisz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
Our pick is Podhale Nowy Targ or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kalisz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
On our numbers Kalisz have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Podhale Nowy Targ 63%.
How many goals will there be in Kalisz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kalisz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
Our predicted score is Kalisz 0–1 Podhale Nowy Targ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Kalisz vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
Kalisz vs Podhale Nowy Targ (II Liga East) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ŁKS Łódź II0