Unia Skierniewice vs Podhale Nowy Targ prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Unia Skierniewice or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Unia Skierniewice to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnia Skierniewice to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceUnia Skierniewice or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.69
Unia Skierniewice vs Podhale Nowy Targ preview and prediction
The match
The II Liga East sees Unia Skierniewice take on Podhale Nowy Targ on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 14:45 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski.
Form guide
Unia Skierniewice's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Zaglebie Sosnowiec 3–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Podhale Nowy Targ's last 4: WLDL Most recently they beat Resovia Rzeszów 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Unia Skierniewice arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Unia Skierniewice and 0.8 for Podhale Nowy Targ. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Unia Skierniewice 60%, draw 23%, Podhale Nowy Targ 16%.
Safer route: Unia Skierniewice or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Unia Skierniewice to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Unia Skierniewice or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Unia Skierniewice 1–0 Podhale Nowy Targ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Unia Skierniewice60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.20
Podhale Nowy Targ16%fair 6.11 · @3.75
2.63Expected goals
1.80Unia Skierniewice xG
0.83Podhale Nowy Targ xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Unia Skierniewice 1.8 – 0.8 Podhale Nowy Targ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Unia Skierniewice to win✗
60%
1.66
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Unia Skierniewice or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Unia Skierniewice ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Unia Skierniewice / FT Unia Skierniewice✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.69
–
Form
Unia Skierniewice – last 5
WWWWW
18 Mar
vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
3–2
W
13 Mar
@ Rekord Bielsko-Biała
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Stal Stalowa Wola
3–2
W
28 Feb
@ Świt Skolwin
3–2
W
14 Feb
vs Lech Poznań II
4–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Podhale Nowy Targ – last 4
WLDL
15 Mar
vs Resovia Rzeszów
2–1
W
7 Mar
@ Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Stal Stalowa Wola
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Olimpia Grudziądz
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Unia Skierniewice and Podhale Nowy Targ.
What is the prediction for Unia Skierniewice vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
Our pick is Unia Skierniewice or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Unia Skierniewice vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
On our numbers Unia Skierniewice have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Podhale Nowy Targ 16%.
How many goals will there be in Unia Skierniewice vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Unia Skierniewice vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
Our predicted score is Unia Skierniewice 1–0 Podhale Nowy Targ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Unia Skierniewice vs Podhale Nowy Targ?
Unia Skierniewice vs Podhale Nowy Targ (II Liga East) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.