Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Podhale Nowy Targ or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Podhale Nowy Targ to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPodhale Nowy Targ to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chancePodhale Nowy Targ or draw ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.24
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz preview and prediction
The match
Olimpia Grudziądz travel to Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Pilsudskiego in the II Liga East on Sunday 22 February (13:45 WAT) to face Podhale Nowy Targ. Podhale Nowy Targ are 8th with 22 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Olimpia Grudziądz sit 10th on 22 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Podhale Nowy Targ and 0.9 for Olimpia Grudziądz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Safer route: Podhale Nowy Targ or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Podhale Nowy Targ to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Podhale Nowy Targ or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Podhale Nowy Targ 1–0 Olimpia Grudziądz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Podhale Nowy Targ59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.00
Olimpia Grudziądz20%fair 4.97 · @3.50
2.68Expected goals
1.77Podhale Nowy Targ xG
0.91Olimpia Grudziądz xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Podhale Nowy Targ 1.8 – 0.9 Olimpia Grudziądz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Podhale Nowy Targ to win✗
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Podhale Nowy Targ or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Podhale Nowy Targ ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Podhale Nowy Targ / FT Podhale Nowy Targ✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.24
–
Form
Podhale Nowy Targ
No recent results on record.
Olimpia Grudziądz
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Podhale Nowy Targ and Olimpia Grudziądz.
What is the prediction for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
Our pick is Podhale Nowy Targ or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
On our numbers Podhale Nowy Targ have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Olimpia Grudziądz 20%.
How many goals will there be in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
Our predicted score is Podhale Nowy Targ 1–0 Olimpia Grudziądz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Olimpia Grudziądz (II Liga East) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski im. Józefa Pilsudskiego.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
