Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Stal Stalowa Wola to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultStal Stalowa Wola to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceStal Stalowa Wola or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Kalisz vs Stal Stalowa Wola preview and prediction
The match
The II Liga East sees Kalisz take on Stal Stalowa Wola on Wednesday 18 March, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski.
Form guide
Kalisz's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to ŁKS Łódź II 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Stal Stalowa Wola's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Śląsk Wrocław II 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Kalisz and 2.0 for Stal Stalowa Wola. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kalisz 14%, draw 24%, Stal Stalowa Wola 62%.
Safer route: Stal Stalowa Wola or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Stal Stalowa Wola to win at 1.85 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Stal Stalowa Wola or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kalisz 0–2 Stal Stalowa Wola. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kalisz14%fair 7.00 · @3.60
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.20
Stal Stalowa Wola62%fair 1.61 · @1.85
2.95Expected goals
0.91Kalisz xG
2.04Stal Stalowa Wola xG
57%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Kalisz 0.9 – 2.0 Stal Stalowa Wola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stal Stalowa Wola to win✗
62%
1.61
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Stal Stalowa Wola or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Stal Stalowa Wola ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stal Stalowa Wola / FT Stal Stalowa Wola✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.09
–
Form
Kalisz – last 3
LLL
12 Mar
@ ŁKS Łódź II
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Chojniczanka Chojnice
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Hutnik Kraków
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Stal Stalowa Wola – last 3
LLD
13 Mar
vs Śląsk Wrocław II
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Unia Skierniewice
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Podhale Nowy Targ
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kalisz and Stal Stalowa Wola.
What is the prediction for Kalisz vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
Our pick is Stal Stalowa Wola or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kalisz vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
On our numbers Kalisz have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stal Stalowa Wola 62%.
How many goals will there be in Kalisz vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kalisz vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
Our predicted score is Kalisz 0–2 Stal Stalowa Wola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Kalisz vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
Kalisz vs Stal Stalowa Wola (II Liga East) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Jastrzębie1
Warta Poznań0
ŁKS Łódź II1
Unia Skierniewice3
Zaglebie Sosnowiec2