Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTrefelin to win ✓64% · @1.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Pontypridd Town vs Trefelin preview and prediction
The match
Trefelin travel to USW Sports Park in the FAW Championship on Friday 27 March (20:30 WAT) to face Pontypridd Town.
Form guide
Pontypridd Town's last 4: LWLW Most recently they lost to Trethomas Bluebirds 2–4 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Trefelin's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Cambrian & Clydach 0–4 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Trefelin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.0 for Pontypridd Town and 2.1 for Trefelin. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pontypridd Town 19%, draw 17%, Trefelin 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Trefelin to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Pontypridd Town 1–2 Trefelin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pontypridd Town19%fair 5.37 · @4.20
Draw17%fair 5.76 · @4.20
Trefelin64%fair 1.56 · @1.55
3.15Expected goals
1.02Pontypridd Town xG
2.13Trefelin xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Pontypridd Town 1.0 – 2.1 Trefelin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trefelin to win✓
64%
1.56
1.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Trefelin ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trefelin / FT Trefelin✓
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.08
–
Form
Pontypridd Town – last 4
LWLW
20 Mar
@ Trethomas Bluebirds
2–4
L
17 Mar
@ Cwmbran Celtic
5–2
W
6 Mar
vs Llantwit Major
0–4
L
21 Feb
vs Baglan Dragons
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Trefelin – last 5
LWWWW
17 Mar
vs Cambrian & Clydach
0–4
L
4 Mar
vs Cardiff Draconians
3–1
W
20 Feb
vs Ynyshir Albions
2–0
W
17 Feb
vs Baglan Dragons
3–0
W
13 Feb
@ Carmarthen Town
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pontypridd Town and Trefelin.
What is the prediction for Pontypridd Town vs Trefelin?
Our pick is Trefelin to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Pontypridd Town vs Trefelin?
On our numbers Pontypridd Town have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Trefelin 64%.
How many goals will there be in Pontypridd Town vs Trefelin?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pontypridd Town vs Trefelin?
Our predicted score is Pontypridd Town 1–2 Trefelin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Pontypridd Town vs Trefelin?
Pontypridd Town vs Trefelin (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at USW Sports Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cwmbran Celtic1
Cambrian & Clydach2
Rhyl3
Denbigh Town0