Baglan Dragons vs Cwmbran Celtic prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Baglan Dragons to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBaglan Dragons to win ✗63% · @1.44
Double chanceBaglan Dragons or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.96
Baglan Dragons vs Cwmbran Celtic preview and prediction
The match
Baglan Dragons host Cwmbran Celtic in the FAW Championship on Tuesday 24 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q.
Form guide
Baglan Dragons's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Ammanford AFC 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Cwmbran Celtic's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Pontypridd Town 2–5 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 3.7 conceded.
Baglan Dragons arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.6 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Baglan Dragons and 0.9 for Cwmbran Celtic. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Baglan Dragons to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Baglan Dragons 1–0 Cwmbran Celtic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Baglan Dragons63%fair 1.59 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.80
Cwmbran Celtic16%fair 6.26 · @5.50
2.88Expected goals
1.99Baglan Dragons xG
0.89Cwmbran Celtic xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Baglan Dragons 2.0 – 0.9 Cwmbran Celtic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baglan Dragons to win✗
63%
1.59
1.44
Double chance
Baglan Dragons or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Baglan Dragons ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baglan Dragons / FT Baglan Dragons✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.96
–
Form
Baglan Dragons – last 5
LLWLL
20 Mar
@ Ammanford AFC
0–1
L
17 Mar
@ Treowen Stars
1–4
L
6 Mar
@ Newport City
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Pontypridd Town
0–2
L
17 Feb
@ Trefelin
0–3
L
0.6Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Cwmbran Celtic – last 3
LLL
17 Mar
vs Pontypridd Town
2–5
L
10 Mar
vs Llantwit Major
1–3
L
6 Mar
vs Ynyshir Albions
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baglan Dragons and Cwmbran Celtic.
What is the prediction for Baglan Dragons vs Cwmbran Celtic?
Our pick is Baglan Dragons to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Baglan Dragons vs Cwmbran Celtic?
On our numbers Baglan Dragons have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cwmbran Celtic 16%.
How many goals will there be in Baglan Dragons vs Cwmbran Celtic?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baglan Dragons vs Cwmbran Celtic?
Our predicted score is Baglan Dragons 1–0 Cwmbran Celtic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Baglan Dragons vs Cwmbran Celtic?
Baglan Dragons vs Cwmbran Celtic (FAW Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ammanford AFC0
Cambrian & Clydach0
Flint Mountain1
Guilsfield0