Flint Mountain vs Newtown AFC prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Newtown AFC to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewtown AFC to win ✓59% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Flint Mountain vs Newtown AFC preview and prediction
The match
Newtown AFC travel to Essity Stadium in the FAW Championship on Friday 27 February (21:00 WAT) to face Flint Mountain.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.3 for Flint Mountain and 2.1 for Newtown AFC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 65%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Flint Mountain 26%, draw 15%, Newtown AFC 59%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Newtown AFC to win at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Flint Mountain 1–2 Newtown AFC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Flint Mountain26%fair 3.85 · @3.20
Draw15%fair 6.46 · @3.40
Newtown AFC59%fair 1.71 · @1.91
3.40Expected goals
1.30Flint Mountain xG
2.10Newtown AFC xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–27%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Flint Mountain 1.3 – 2.1 Newtown AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newtown AFC to win✓
59%
1.71
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Newtown AFC ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newtown AFC / FT Newtown AFC✓
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.45
–
Form
Flint Mountain – last 2
LL
24 Feb
vs Llandudno
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Gresford Athletic
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Newtown AFC – last 1
W
20 Feb
vs Guilsfield
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Flint Mountain and Newtown AFC.
What is the prediction for Flint Mountain vs Newtown AFC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Flint Mountain vs Newtown AFC?
On our numbers Flint Mountain have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Newtown AFC 59%.
How many goals will there be in Flint Mountain vs Newtown AFC?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flint Mountain vs Newtown AFC?
Our predicted score is Flint Mountain 1–2 Newtown AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Flint Mountain vs Newtown AFC?
Flint Mountain vs Newtown AFC (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Essity Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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