Value bet: Lommel United to win @ 3.40 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBeerschot VA to win ✓48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.75
Beerschot VA vs Lommel United preview and prediction
The match
The Challenger Pro League sees Beerschot VA take on Lommel United on Friday 17 April, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Olympisch Stadion.
Form guide
Beerschot VA's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with AS Eupen 3–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lommel United's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Francs Borains 3–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Beerschot VA arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for Beerschot VA and 1.3 for Lommel United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Beerschot VA 48%, draw 21%, Lommel United 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Lommel United to win at 3.40 – 31% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Beerschot VA 1–1 Lommel United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Beerschot VA48%fair 2.09 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.45
Lommel United31%fair 3.19 · @3.40
2.89Expected goals
1.63Beerschot VA xG
1.26Lommel United xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Beerschot VA 1.6 – 1.3 Lommel United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beerschot VA to win✓
48%
2.09
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beerschot VA / FT Beerschot VA✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.75
–
Form
Beerschot VA – last 5
DWWWD
10 Apr
@ AS Eupen
3–3
D
20 Mar
@ Patro Eisden
4–0
W
10 Mar
vs RSC Anderlecht II
4–2
W
6 Mar
vs KRC Genk II
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs RWDM
1–1
D
2.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Lommel United – last 3
WDL
15 Mar
vs Francs Borains
3–1
W
11 Mar
@ KAA Gent II
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs Seraing United
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beerschot VA and Lommel United.
What is the prediction for Beerschot VA vs Lommel United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Beerschot VA vs Lommel United?
On our numbers Beerschot VA have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lommel United 31%.
How many goals will there be in Beerschot VA vs Lommel United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beerschot VA vs Lommel United?
Our predicted score is Beerschot VA 1–1 Lommel United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Beerschot VA vs Lommel United?
Beerschot VA vs Lommel United (Challenger Pro League) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Olympisch Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Olympic Charleroi0
Kortrijk3
RWDM1
SK Beveren2