Value bet: Malženice to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMalženice to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceMalženice or draw ✗85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.07
Malženice vs Šamorín preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Liga sees Malženice take on Šamorín on Friday 8 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Futbalový štadión Malženice. Malženice are 12th with 16 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Šamorín sit 1st on 36 points (top of the table). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Malženice's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Žilina II 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Šamorín's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Liptovský Mikuláš 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Malženice arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Malženice and 0.8 for Šamorín. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Malženice to win at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Malženice 2–0 Šamorín. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Malženice61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.55
Šamorín15%fair 6.55 · @4.10
2.72Expected goals
1.89Malženice xG
0.84Šamorín xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Malženice 1.9 – 0.8 Šamorín expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malženice to win✗
61%
1.63
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Malženice or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Half-time result
Malženice ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malženice / FT Malženice✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.07
–
Form
Malženice – last 6
DDWDWW
3 May
@ Žilina II
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Lokomotíva Zvolen
0–0
D
22 Apr
vs Slávia TU Košice
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Slovan Bratislava II
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs Považská Bystrica
4–2
W
7 Apr
vs Zlaté Moravce
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Šamorín – last 5
DWWLL
22 Apr
vs Liptovský Mikuláš
1–1
D
17 Apr
@ Zlaté Moravce
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Inter Bratislava
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Petržalka
0–3
L
6 Mar
@ Pohronie
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malženice and Šamorín.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Malženice vs Šamorín?
On our numbers Malženice have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Šamorín 15%.
How many goals will there be in Malženice vs Šamorín?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malženice vs Šamorín?
Our predicted score is Malženice 2–0 Šamorín, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Malženice vs Šamorín?
Malženice vs Šamorín (2. Liga) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Futbalový štadión Malženice.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dukla Banská Bystrica4
Púchov0
Slávia TU Košice2
Stará Ľubovňa1