Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Pohronie to win @ 1.85 – our chance 65% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPohronie to win ✓65% · @1.85
Double chancePohronie or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Pohronie vs Šamorín preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Liga sees Pohronie take on Šamorín on Friday 6 March, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Futbalový štadión Žiar nad Hronom. Pohronie are 5th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Šamorín sit 1st on 36 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Pohronie's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Žilina II 0–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Pohronie and 1.0 for Šamorín. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pohronie 65%, draw 21%, Šamorín 15%.
Safer route: Pohronie or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Pohronie to win at 1.85 – 65% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pohronie or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pohronie 2–1 Šamorín. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pohronie65%fair 1.55 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.30
Šamorín15%fair 6.76 · @3.40
3.25Expected goals
2.25Pohronie xG
1.00Šamorín xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Pohronie 2.2 – 1.0 Šamorín expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pohronie to win✓
65%
1.55
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Pohronie or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Pohronie ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pohronie / FT Pohronie✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Form
Pohronie – last 3
LWW
1 Mar
@ Žilina II
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Malženice
4–2
W
14 Feb
vs Lokomotíva Zvolen
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Šamorín
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pohronie and Šamorín.
Our pick is Pohronie or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Pohronie vs Šamorín?
On our numbers Pohronie have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Šamorín 15%.
How many goals will there be in Pohronie vs Šamorín?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pohronie vs Šamorín?
Our predicted score is Pohronie 2–1 Šamorín, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Pohronie vs Šamorín?
Pohronie vs Šamorín (2. Liga) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Futbalový štadión Žiar nad Hronom.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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