Value bet: Galatasaray to win @ 2.28 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGalatasaray to win ✗48% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.70
Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray preview and prediction
The match
The Süper Lig sees Kasımpaşa take on Galatasaray on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu. Kasımpaşa are 5th with 20 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Galatasaray sit 1st on 28 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Kasımpaşa's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Başakşehir 0–4 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Galatasaray's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.2 for Kasımpaşa and 1.6 for Galatasaray. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kasımpaşa 31%, draw 21%, Galatasaray 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Galatasaray to win at 2.28 – 48% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Kasımpaşa 1–1 Galatasaray. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kasımpaşa31%fair 3.24 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
Galatasaray48%fair 2.06 · @2.28
2.86Expected goals
1.23Kasımpaşa xG
1.63Galatasaray xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Kasımpaşa 1.2 – 1.6 Galatasaray expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Galatasaray to win✗
48%
2.06
2.28 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Galatasaray / FT Galatasaray✗
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.70
–
Form
Kasımpaşa – last 6
LWWLWD
24 Apr
@ Başakşehir
0–4
L
19 Apr
vs Alanyaspor
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Kayserispor
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Beşiktaş
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Eyüpspor
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Konyaspor
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Galatasaray – last 6
LWLWWL
22 Apr
vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0–2
L
8 Apr
@ Göztepe
3–1
W
18 Mar
@ Liverpool
0–4
L
10 Mar
vs Liverpool
1–0
W
3 Mar
@ Alanyaspor
2–1
W
25 Feb
@ Juventus
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kasımpaşa and Galatasaray.
What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray?
On our numbers Kasımpaşa have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Galatasaray 48%.
How many goals will there be in Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray?
Our predicted score is Kasımpaşa 1–1 Galatasaray, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray?
Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kayserispor2
Antalyaspor1