Value bet: Samsunspor to win @ 3.15 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlanyaspor to win ✗41% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.19
Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor preview and prediction
The match
The Süper Lig sees Alanyaspor take on Samsunspor on Monday 27 April, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Alanya Oba Stadium. Alanyaspor are 13th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Samsunspor sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Alanyaspor's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Beşiktaş 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Samsunspor's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Beşiktaş 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Samsunspor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Alanyaspor and 1.2 for Samsunspor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Samsunspor to win at 3.15 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Alanyaspor 1–1 Samsunspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alanyaspor41%fair 2.42 · @2.28
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Samsunspor34%fair 2.90 · @3.15
2.49Expected goals
1.32Alanyaspor xG
1.18Samsunspor xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Alanyaspor 1.3 – 1.2 Samsunspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alanyaspor to win✗
41%
2.42
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alanyaspor / FT Alanyaspor✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.19
–
Form
Alanyaspor – last 6
LLWDLL
23 Apr
@ Beşiktaş
0–3
L
19 Apr
@ Kasımpaşa
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs Kocaelispor
5–0
W
9 Mar
vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Galatasaray
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Başakşehir
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Samsunspor – last 6
WWLDWW
19 Apr
vs Beşiktaş
2–1
W
13 Apr
@ Eyüpspor
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ Rizespor
1–4
L
5 Apr
vs Konyaspor
2–2
D
19 Mar
@ Rayo Vallecano
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Kayserispor
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alanyaspor and Samsunspor.
What is the prediction for Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor?
On our numbers Alanyaspor have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Samsunspor 34%.
How many goals will there be in Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor?
Our predicted score is Alanyaspor 1–1 Samsunspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor?
Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Alanya Oba Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fatih Karagümrük0