Value bet: Başakşehir to win @ 2.50 – our chance 47% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBaşakşehir to win ✗47% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.21
Kocaelispor vs Başakşehir preview and prediction
The match
Başakşehir travel to Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu in the Süper Lig on Monday 6 April (18:00 WAT) to face Kocaelispor. Kocaelispor are 7th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Başakşehir sit 8th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kocaelispor's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Alanyaspor 0–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Başakşehir's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Antalyaspor 0–0 at home. They average 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Kocaelispor and 1.4 for Başakşehir. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Başakşehir to win at 2.50 – 47% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Kocaelispor 1–1 Başakşehir. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kocaelispor31%fair 3.27 · @2.82
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.15
Başakşehir47%fair 2.13 · @2.50
2.48Expected goals
1.07Kocaelispor xG
1.41Başakşehir xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Kocaelispor 1.1 – 1.4 Başakşehir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Başakşehir to win✗
47%
2.13
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Başakşehir / FT Başakşehir✗
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.21
–
Form
Kocaelispor – last 6
LLWLLW
18 Mar
@ Alanyaspor
0–5
L
14 Mar
vs Konyaspor
1–2
L
9 Mar
@ Eyüpspor
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Rizespor
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Gazişehir Gaziantep
3–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Başakşehir – last 5
DLWWL
18 Mar
vs Antalyaspor
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Trabzonspor
2–4
L
27 Feb
vs Konyaspor
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Alanyaspor
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Beşiktaş
2–3
L
1.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kocaelispor and Başakşehir.
What is the prediction for Kocaelispor vs Başakşehir?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Kocaelispor vs Başakşehir?
On our numbers Kocaelispor have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Başakşehir 47%.
How many goals will there be in Kocaelispor vs Başakşehir?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kocaelispor vs Başakşehir?
Our predicted score is Kocaelispor 1–1 Başakşehir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kocaelispor vs Başakşehir?
Kocaelispor vs Başakşehir (Süper Lig) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
