Value bet: Kayserispor to win @ 3.30 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKasımpaşa to win ✓40% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.76
Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor preview and prediction
The match
The Süper Lig sees Kasımpaşa take on Kayserispor on Saturday 4 April, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu.
Form guide
Kasımpaşa's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Beşiktaş 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Kayserispor's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Fatih Karagümrük 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Kasımpaşa and 1.2 for Kayserispor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Kayserispor to win at 3.30 – 36% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Kasımpaşa 1–1 Kayserispor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kasımpaşa40%fair 2.47 · @2.14
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.35
Kayserispor36%fair 2.79 · @3.30
2.56Expected goals
1.33Kasımpaşa xG
1.23Kayserispor xG
61%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Kasımpaşa 1.3 – 1.2 Kayserispor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kasımpaşa to win✓
40%
2.47
2.14
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kasımpaşa / FT Kasımpaşa✓
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.76
–
Form
Kasımpaşa – last 6
LWDLDW
19 Mar
@ Beşiktaş
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Eyüpspor
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Konyaspor
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Rizespor
0–3
L
23 Feb
@ Fenerbahçe
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Fatih Karagümrük
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kayserispor – last 6
WLLDWD
19 Mar
vs Fatih Karagümrük
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Samsunspor
1–2
L
9 Mar
vs Trabzonspor
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Antalyaspor
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Göztepe
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kasımpaşa and Kayserispor.
What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor?
On our numbers Kasımpaşa have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kayserispor 36%.
How many goals will there be in Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor?
Our predicted score is Kasımpaşa 1–1 Kayserispor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor?
Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
