Value bet: Samsunspor to win @ 3.05 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRizespor to win ✓44% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Rizespor vs Samsunspor preview and prediction
The match
Samsunspor travel to Çaykur Didi Stadyumu in the Süper Lig on Thursday 9 April (18:00 WAT) to face Rizespor. Rizespor are 11th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Samsunspor sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Rizespor's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Fatih Karagümrük 1–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Samsunspor's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Konyaspor 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Rizespor and 1.2 for Samsunspor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Samsunspor to win at 3.05 – 35% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Rizespor 1–1 Samsunspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rizespor44%fair 2.28 · @2.22
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Samsunspor35%fair 2.84 · @3.05
2.57Expected goals
1.38Rizespor xG
1.19Samsunspor xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Rizespor 1.4 – 1.2 Samsunspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rizespor to win✓
44%
2.28
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rizespor / FT Rizespor✓
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.54
–
Form
Rizespor – last 6
LWLWWD
5 Apr
@ Fatih Karagümrük
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Antalyaspor
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Beşiktaş
1–4
L
28 Feb
@ Kasımpaşa
3–0
W
20 Feb
vs Kocaelispor
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Genclerbirligi
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Samsunspor – last 6
DWWLLW
5 Apr
vs Konyaspor
2–2
D
19 Mar
@ Rayo Vallecano
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Kayserispor
2–1
W
12 Mar
vs Rayo Vallecano
1–3
L
8 Mar
@ Fenerbahçe
2–3
L
5 Mar
@ Antalyaspor
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rizespor and Samsunspor.
What is the prediction for Rizespor vs Samsunspor?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Rizespor vs Samsunspor?
On our numbers Rizespor have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Samsunspor 35%.
How many goals will there be in Rizespor vs Samsunspor?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rizespor vs Samsunspor?
Our predicted score is Rizespor 1–1 Samsunspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Rizespor vs Samsunspor?
Rizespor vs Samsunspor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Çaykur Didi Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
