Value bet: Fatih Karagümrük to win @ 3.65 – our chance 35% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKayserispor to win ✓42% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10% · fair 10.14
Kayserispor vs Fatih Karagümrük preview and prediction
The match
The Süper Lig sees Kayserispor take on Fatih Karagümrük on Thursday 19 March, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Kadir Has Stadium.
Form guide
Kayserispor's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Samsunspor 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fatih Karagümrük's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Fenerbahçe 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Kayserispor and 1.3 for Fatih Karagümrük. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kayserispor 42%, draw 23%, Fatih Karagümrük 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Fatih Karagümrük to win at 3.65 – 35% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Kayserispor 1–1 Fatih Karagümrük. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kayserispor42%fair 2.39 · @1.97
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.50
Fatih Karagümrük35%fair 2.82 · @3.65
2.65Expected goals
1.39Kayserispor xG
1.25Fatih Karagümrük xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kayserispor 1.4 – 1.3 Fatih Karagümrük expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kayserispor to win✓
42%
2.39
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kayserispor / FT Kayserispor✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
10%
10.14
–
Form
Kayserispor – last 5
LLDWD
15 Mar
@ Samsunspor
1–2
L
9 Mar
vs Trabzonspor
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Antalyaspor
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Göztepe
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Fatih Karagümrük – last 6
WDWLDL
13 Mar
vs Fenerbahçe
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Gaziantep FK
1–1
D
3 Mar
@ Fethiyespor
2–0
W
27 Feb
@ Trabzonspor
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Samsunspor
0–0
D
16 Feb
@ Kasımpaşa
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kayserispor and Fatih Karagümrük.
What is the prediction for Kayserispor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Kayserispor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
On our numbers Kayserispor have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fatih Karagümrük 35%.
How many goals will there be in Kayserispor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kayserispor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Our predicted score is Kayserispor 1–1 Fatih Karagümrük, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kayserispor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Kayserispor vs Fatih Karagümrük (Süper Lig) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Kadir Has Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Beşiktaş2
Kasımpaşa1
Konyaspor1
Gençlerbirliği S.K.0