Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Kocaelispor to win @ 3.85 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlanyaspor to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.21
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor preview and prediction
The match
The Süper Lig sees Alanyaspor take on Kocaelispor on Wednesday 18 March, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at GAİN Park Stadyumu. Alanyaspor are 13th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Kocaelispor sit 7th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Alanyaspor's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Kocaelispor's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Konyaspor 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kocaelispor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Alanyaspor and 1.0 for Kocaelispor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Kocaelispor to win at 3.85 – 33% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Alanyaspor 1–0 Kocaelispor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alanyaspor45%fair 2.22 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.20
Kocaelispor33%fair 3.05 · @3.85
2.24Expected goals
1.24Alanyaspor xG
1.00Kocaelispor xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Alanyaspor 1.2 – 1.0 Kocaelispor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alanyaspor to win✓
45%
2.22
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alanyaspor / FT Alanyaspor✓
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.21
–
Form
Alanyaspor – last 3
DLL
9 Mar
vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Galatasaray
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Başakşehir
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kocaelispor – last 5
LWLLW
14 Mar
vs Konyaspor
1–2
L
9 Mar
@ Eyüpspor
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Rizespor
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Gazişehir Gaziantep
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alanyaspor and Kocaelispor.
What is the prediction for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
On our numbers Alanyaspor have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kocaelispor 33%.
How many goals will there be in Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
Our predicted score is Alanyaspor 1–0 Kocaelispor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at GAİN Park Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Antalyaspor0