Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Samsunspor to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSamsunspor to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceSamsunspor or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.64
Samsunspor vs Kayserispor preview and prediction
The match
Samsunspor host Kayserispor in the Süper Lig on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu.
Form guide
Samsunspor's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Rayo Vallecano 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kayserispor's last 4: LDWD Most recently they lost to Trabzonspor 1–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Samsunspor and 0.7 for Kayserispor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Samsunspor to win at 1.91 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Samsunspor or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Samsunspor 1–0 Kayserispor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Samsunspor62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.25
Kayserispor15%fair 6.79 · @3.80
2.44Expected goals
1.73Samsunspor xG
0.71Kayserispor xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Samsunspor 1.7 – 0.7 Kayserispor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Samsunspor to win✓
62%
1.62
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Samsunspor or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Samsunspor ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Samsunspor / FT Samsunspor✓
39%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.64
–
Form
Samsunspor – last 6
LLWDWD
12 Mar
vs Rayo Vallecano
1–3
L
8 Mar
@ Fenerbahçe
2–3
L
5 Mar
@ Antalyaspor
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Gaziantep FK
0–0
D
26 Feb
vs Shkendija
4–0
W
22 Feb
@ Fatih Karagümrük
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kayserispor – last 4
LDWD
9 Mar
vs Trabzonspor
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Antalyaspor
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Göztepe
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Samsunspor and Kayserispor.
What is the prediction for Samsunspor vs Kayserispor?
Our pick is Samsunspor or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Samsunspor vs Kayserispor?
On our numbers Samsunspor have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kayserispor 15%.
How many goals will there be in Samsunspor vs Kayserispor?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samsunspor vs Kayserispor?
Our predicted score is Samsunspor 1–0 Kayserispor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Samsunspor vs Kayserispor?
Samsunspor vs Kayserispor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
