Value bet: Alanyaspor to win @ 3.75 – our chance 34% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultGöztepe to win40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.14
Göztepe vs Alanyaspor preview and prediction
The match
The Süper Lig sees Göztepe take on Alanyaspor on Saturday 14 March, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu. Göztepe are 10th with 15 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Alanyaspor sit 13th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Alanyaspor's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Göztepe and 1.0 for Alanyaspor. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Value angle: Alanyaspor to win at 3.75 – 34% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.87, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Göztepe 1–1 Alanyaspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Göztepe40%fair 2.49 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.00
Alanyaspor34%fair 2.91 · @3.75
2.04Expected goals
1.08Göztepe xG
0.96Alanyaspor xG
53%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Göztepe 1.1 – 1.0 Alanyaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Göztepe to win
40%
2.49
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.87
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
7.14
–
Form
Göztepe – last 2
LD
22 Feb
@ Beşiktaş
0–4
L
15 Feb
vs Kayserispor
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alanyaspor – last 3
DLL
9 Mar
vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Galatasaray
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Başakşehir
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Göztepe and Alanyaspor.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Göztepe vs Alanyaspor?
On our numbers Göztepe have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Alanyaspor 34%.
How many goals will there be in Göztepe vs Alanyaspor?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Göztepe vs Alanyaspor?
Our predicted score is Göztepe 1–1 Alanyaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Göztepe vs Alanyaspor?
Göztepe vs Alanyaspor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
