Value bet: Kocaelispor to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKocaelispor to win ✗41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.32
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.74
Rizespor vs Kocaelispor preview and prediction
The match
The Süper Lig sees Rizespor take on Kocaelispor on Friday 20 February, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Çaykur Didi Stadyumu. Rizespor are 11th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Kocaelispor sit 7th on 19 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Rizespor and 1.3 for Kocaelispor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Kocaelispor to win at 2.75 – 41% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Rizespor 1–1 Kocaelispor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rizespor35%fair 2.85 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.25
Kocaelispor41%fair 2.44 · @2.75
2.40Expected goals
1.14Rizespor xG
1.26Kocaelispor xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Rizespor 1.1 – 1.3 Kocaelispor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kocaelispor to win✗
41%
2.44
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.32
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.23
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kocaelispor / FT Kocaelispor✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.74
–
Form
Rizespor – last 1
D
14 Feb
@ Genclerbirligi
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Kocaelispor – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Gazişehir Gaziantep
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rizespor and Kocaelispor.
What is the prediction for Rizespor vs Kocaelispor?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Rizespor vs Kocaelispor?
On our numbers Rizespor have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kocaelispor 41%.
How many goals will there be in Rizespor vs Kocaelispor?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rizespor vs Kocaelispor?
Our predicted score is Rizespor 1–1 Kocaelispor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Rizespor vs Kocaelispor?
Rizespor vs Kocaelispor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Çaykur Didi Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
