Value bet: Fatih Karagümrük to win @ 3.70 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSamsunspor to win ✗48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.61
Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor preview and prediction
The match
Samsunspor travel to Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı in the Süper Lig on Sunday 22 February (18:00 WAT) to face Fatih Karagümrük.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Fatih Karagümrük and 1.5 for Samsunspor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fatih Karagümrük 30%, draw 22%, Samsunspor 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Fatih Karagümrük to win at 3.70 – 30% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Samsunspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fatih Karagümrük30%fair 3.33 · @3.70
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Samsunspor48%fair 2.08 · @2.00
2.53Expected goals
1.07Fatih Karagümrük xG
1.46Samsunspor xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Fatih Karagümrük 1.1 – 1.5 Samsunspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Samsunspor to win✗
48%
2.08
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Samsunspor / FT Samsunspor✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.61
–
Form
Fatih Karagümrük – last 1
L
16 Feb
@ Kasımpaşa
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Samsunspor – last 2
WL
19 Feb
@ Shkendija
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Antalyaspor
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fatih Karagümrük and Samsunspor.
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor?
On our numbers Fatih Karagümrük have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Samsunspor 48%.
How many goals will there be in Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor?
Our predicted score is Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 Samsunspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor?
Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor (Süper Lig) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kayserispor1
Antalyaspor0