Havelse travel to Sportclub Arena in the 3. Liga on Saturday 2 May (13:00 WAT) to face Verl. Verl are 17th with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Havelse sit 20th on 10 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Verl's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to SSV Ulm 1846 0–1 away. They average 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Havelse's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat SV Wehen 4–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Verl arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.5 for Verl and 1.1 for Havelse. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Verl 67%, draw 18%, Havelse 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Verl 2–1 Havelse. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Verl67%fair 1.49 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @5.80
Havelse14%fair 7.06 · @9.75
3.68Expected goals
2.55Verl xG
1.13Havelse xG
63%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–17%
3–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Verl 2.5 – 1.1 Havelse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Verl to win✓
67%
1.49
1.25
Double chance
Verl or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.77
Half-time result
Verl ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Verl / FT Verl✓
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.78
–
Form
Verl – last 5
LWWLL
5 Apr
@ SSV Ulm 1846
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs FC Schweinfurt 05
4–0
W
8 Mar
@ FC Ingolstadt 04
2–1
W
3 Mar
vs SSV Jahn Regensburg
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Alemannia Aachen
1–3
L
1.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Havelse – last 6
WLLLDL
8 Apr
@ SV Wehen
4–1
W
4 Apr
vs Energie Cottbus
0–3
L
8 Mar
@ Waldhof Mannheim
1–3
L
4 Mar
vs Hansa Rostock
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ MSV Duisburg
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ FC Ingolstadt 04
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Verl and Havelse.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Verl vs Havelse?
On our numbers Verl have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Havelse 14%.
How many goals will there be in Verl vs Havelse?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Verl vs Havelse?
Our predicted score is Verl 2–1 Havelse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Verl vs Havelse?
Verl vs Havelse (3. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportclub Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Schweinfurt 051
TSV 1860 München1
SSV Ulm 1846