Value bet: Alemannia Aachen to win @ 2.95 – our chance 44% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlemannia Aachen to win ✗44% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.26
FC Saarbrücken vs Alemannia Aachen preview and prediction
The match
FC Saarbrücken host Alemannia Aachen in the 3. Liga on Wednesday 8 April, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Ludwigspark Stadion. FC Saarbrücken are 6th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Alemannia Aachen sit 7th on 20 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FC Saarbrücken's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat FC Ingolstadt 04 1–0 at home. They average 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Alemannia Aachen's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat SV Wehen 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Alemannia Aachen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for FC Saarbrücken and 1.6 for Alemannia Aachen. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Saarbrücken 36%, draw 21%, Alemannia Aachen 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Alemannia Aachen to win at 2.95 – 44% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: FC Saarbrücken 1–1 Alemannia Aachen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Saarbrücken36%fair 2.81 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
Alemannia Aachen44%fair 2.29 · @2.95
2.98Expected goals
1.40FC Saarbrücken xG
1.58Alemannia Aachen xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: FC Saarbrücken 1.4 – 1.6 Alemannia Aachen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alemannia Aachen to win✗
44%
2.29
2.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alemannia Aachen / FT Alemannia Aachen✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.26
–
Form
FC Saarbrücken – last 5
WLWDD
5 Apr
vs FC Ingolstadt 04
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ MSV Duisburg
2–4
L
4 Mar
vs SV Wehen
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ FC Schweinfurt 05
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ SSV Ulm 1846
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Alemannia Aachen – last 6
WWWLWW
5 Apr
vs SV Wehen
3–0
W
13 Mar
vs Energie Cottbus
4–1
W
4 Mar
vs FC Schweinfurt 05
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Waldhof Mannheim
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Verl
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ SSV Ulm 1846
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Saarbrücken and Alemannia Aachen.
What is the prediction for FC Saarbrücken vs Alemannia Aachen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Saarbrücken vs Alemannia Aachen?
On our numbers FC Saarbrücken have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Alemannia Aachen 44%.
How many goals will there be in FC Saarbrücken vs Alemannia Aachen?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Saarbrücken vs Alemannia Aachen?
Our predicted score is FC Saarbrücken 1–1 Alemannia Aachen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FC Saarbrücken vs Alemannia Aachen?
FC Saarbrücken vs Alemannia Aachen (3. Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Ludwigspark Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
SSV Ulm 18461