Value bet: VfL Osnabrück to win @ 2.60 – our chance 45% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVfL Osnabrück to win ✗45% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.67
MSV Duisburg vs VfL Osnabrück preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Liga sees MSV Duisburg take on VfL Osnabrück on Tuesday 7 April, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena.
Form guide
MSV Duisburg's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat TSV 1860 München 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
VfL Osnabrück's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat FC Schweinfurt 05 4–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
VfL Osnabrück arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for MSV Duisburg and 1.5 for VfL Osnabrück. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: VfL Osnabrück to win at 2.60 – 45% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: MSV Duisburg 1–1 VfL Osnabrück. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
MSV Duisburg32%fair 3.11 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.10
VfL Osnabrück45%fair 2.21 · @2.60
2.65Expected goals
1.18MSV Duisburg xG
1.47VfL Osnabrück xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: MSV Duisburg 1.2 – 1.5 VfL Osnabrück expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VfL Osnabrück to win✗
45%
2.21
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VfL Osnabrück / FT VfL Osnabrück✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.67
–
Form
MSV Duisburg – last 5
WWDDW
22 Mar
vs TSV 1860 München
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs FC Saarbrücken
4–2
W
4 Mar
@ FC Ingolstadt 04
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Havelse
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs FC Schweinfurt 05
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
VfL Osnabrück – last 4
WWWW
4 Apr
vs FC Schweinfurt 05
4–0
W
22 Mar
@ Hoffenheim II
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs FC Viktoria Köln
2–0
W
21 Feb
vs Rot-Weiß Essen
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MSV Duisburg and VfL Osnabrück.
What is the prediction for MSV Duisburg vs VfL Osnabrück?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win MSV Duisburg vs VfL Osnabrück?
On our numbers MSV Duisburg have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and VfL Osnabrück 45%.
How many goals will there be in MSV Duisburg vs VfL Osnabrück?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MSV Duisburg vs VfL Osnabrück?
Our predicted score is MSV Duisburg 1–1 VfL Osnabrück, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is MSV Duisburg vs VfL Osnabrück?
MSV Duisburg vs VfL Osnabrück (3. Liga) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Energie Cottbus3
TSV 1860 München0
Erzgebirge Aue0
FC Schweinfurt 051