Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Rot-Weiß Essen or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Rot-Weiß Essen to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultRot-Weiß Essen to win62% · @1.85
Double chanceRot-Weiß Essen or draw84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.09
Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg preview and prediction
The match
Rot-Weiß Essen host MSV Duisburg in the 3. Liga on Saturday 4 April, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Stadion an der Hafenstrasse. Rot-Weiß Essen are 3rd with 27 points from 13 games (in the top four), while MSV Duisburg sit 2nd on 29 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
MSV Duisburg's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat TSV 1860 München 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Rot-Weiß Essen and 1.0 for MSV Duisburg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 59%.
Safer route: Rot-Weiß Essen or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Rot-Weiß Essen to win at 1.85 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rot-Weiß Essen or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rot-Weiß Essen 2–1 MSV Duisburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rot-Weiß Essen62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.65
MSV Duisburg16%fair 6.25 · @3.85
3.16Expected goals
2.14Rot-Weiß Essen xG
1.02MSV Duisburg xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Rot-Weiß Essen 2.1 – 1.0 MSV Duisburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rot-Weiß Essen to win
62%
1.62
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Rot-Weiß Essen or draw
84%
1.19
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.70
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.72
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.42
Half-time result
Rot-Weiß Essen ahead at half-time
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rot-Weiß Essen / FT Rot-Weiß Essen
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.09
–
Form
Rot-Weiß Essen – last 2
WL
4 Mar
vs Waldhof Mannheim
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ VfL Osnabrück
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
MSV Duisburg – last 5
WWDDW
22 Mar
vs TSV 1860 München
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs FC Saarbrücken
4–2
W
4 Mar
@ FC Ingolstadt 04
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Havelse
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs FC Schweinfurt 05
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rot-Weiß Essen and MSV Duisburg.
What is the prediction for Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg?
Our pick is Rot-Weiß Essen or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg?
On our numbers Rot-Weiß Essen have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and MSV Duisburg 16%.
How many goals will there be in Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg?
Our predicted score is Rot-Weiß Essen 2–1 MSV Duisburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg?
Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg (3. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion an der Hafenstrasse.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Erzgebirge Aue3
TSV 1860 München1
Energie Cottbus3
VfL Osnabrück4
FC Schweinfurt 050