FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Ingolstadt 04 to win ✗38% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.23
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg preview and prediction
The match
MSV Duisburg travel to Audi Sportpark in the 3. Liga on Wednesday 4 March (19:00 WAT) to face FC Ingolstadt 04. FC Ingolstadt 04 are 5th with 21 points from 13 games (in the top half), while MSV Duisburg sit 2nd on 29 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for FC Ingolstadt 04 and 1.5 for MSV Duisburg. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: FC Ingolstadt 04 1–1 MSV Duisburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Ingolstadt 0438%fair 2.63 · @2.55
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.55
MSV Duisburg37%fair 2.74 · @2.55
2.96Expected goals
1.44FC Ingolstadt 04 xG
1.52MSV Duisburg xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: FC Ingolstadt 04 1.4 – 1.5 MSV Duisburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Ingolstadt 04 to win✗
38%
2.63
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MSV Duisburg / FT MSV Duisburg✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.23
–
Form
FC Ingolstadt 04 – last 2
WD
21 Feb
vs Havelse
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ FC Schweinfurt 05
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
MSV Duisburg – last 2
DW
1 Mar
vs Havelse
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs FC Schweinfurt 05
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Ingolstadt 04 and MSV Duisburg.
What is the prediction for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg?
On our numbers FC Ingolstadt 04 have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and MSV Duisburg 37%.
How many goals will there be in FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg?
Our predicted score is FC Ingolstadt 04 1–1 MSV Duisburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg?
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg (3. Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Audi Sportpark.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Schweinfurt 050